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May 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 10.9% decrease of sales in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

In May 2009 sales of single family homes in the Santa Clarita Valley (SFH’s) fell by 10.9% year over year.  They also fell 8.4% from the previous month.  According to the Southland Association of Realtors, May 2009 was the first year over year decease in sales activity for 13 months.   The median price of SFH’s decreased 11.1% year over year for May 2009 while falling 2.4% from the previous month.  This is only the second time this year that this figure has decreased month over month.  The median price for sales that closed escrow was $400 thousand for May 2009.

Condominium sales dived 9.3% year over year for May 2009 while climbing 15.3% month over month.  The median prices dived 21.3% year over year and 4% month over month.  But only 68 units closed escrow during May 2009, which may not provide statistical significance.  The median price of condos closing escrow during May 2009 was $240 thousand.

The ongoing dearth of listings continues to distort the market, however.  As of May 2009 only 1,010 single family homes and condos were actively listed on the SoCal Multiple Listing Service – near historic lows.  This figure represents an equivalent of 3.8 months supply of unsold homes compared with 6.6 months as of one year ago.  Real Estate professionals generally regard an inventory level of 5 to 6 months as a balanced marketplace.

A general perception in the marketplace is that decreased pricing deters sellers – included lenders from listing properties, while enticing buyers with higher affordability and availability of financing.  Is a market bottoming at hand?  – only time will tell.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

April 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 25% increase in condo prices in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

According to the Southland Regional Association of Realtors, SCV single family homes (SFH) sales closing escrow increased 20% year over year for the month of April 2009 while condo sales decreased about 12%.

There were only 1,119 active listings (single family and condos combined) at month end, down 44% year over year.  Based upon the current rate of sales, this inventory is equivalent to only a  4.1 month supply vs 8.2 months as of April 2008.  

While the median price of SFH’s decreased 14.6% year over year it was actually up 2.5% over the previous month.  Condominium median prices decreased 10.4% year over year but managed a whopping 25% increase over the previous month of March 2009.  This figure may not be statistically meaningful as only 59 condos closed escrow in April 2009 and 58 in March 2009.

The low level of listings in the multiple listing service combined with record high affordability and availability of financing appears to be creating a bottoming of the market – pricewise.  Sellers are slow to move as evidenced by the above-mentioned low supply of inventory which is bumping up prices month over month.  It remains to be seen how an unlisted backlog of foreclosures and bank owned properties will affect the market as these inventories start getting released.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

Santa Clarita’s Feb 2009 Sales Continue to Surge

March 31st, 2009 by Phil Levy

The Southland Board of Realtors reports February 2009 closed sales of 167 single family homes in February 2009, an increase of 45% over February 2008.  For condominiums, closed sales increased by 22% for a total of 45 units.

Monthly single family homes sales have increased consistently for the past 12 months while condo’s have continued to increase for the past 9.

The rate of decline in median prices seems to be abating with a year over year decrease of 17% in single family homes to $408,000, although this is actually up by 3% over Jan 2009.  Condo median prices fell 28% year over year to $225,000 – but this increased by 10% from the prior month.  We will need to watch this trend closely over the coming months to verify whether a trend of strengthening prices has returned.

With an inventory of 1,284 homes representing a 6 month supply – close to the range of 5 to 6 months considered by many to represent a “balanced” market.  However the total listings are 40% lower than one year ago.

The below table depicts 2009 sales broken out among the categories of lender owned, short sales, and all other sales.  As in the January sales posting, lender owned and then short sales are dominating the market at this time.

This data was extracted from the SoCal MLS (Multiple Listing Service).  It is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed.  Note that a minor difference exists from the total sales reported by the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.

Month to Date Feb-09 Year to Date
No of Sales Pct of Sales Sale Conditions No of Sales Pct of Sales
112 51% Lender Owned 234 55%
40 18% Short Sales 79 18%
69 31% All Other 116 27%
221 100% Totals* 429 100%