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March 2010 Single Family Home Stats show little change

April 6th, 2010 by Phil Levy

CMM_Report_MedianSoldPrice_chartCMM_Report_MSI_chart 

Looking back over the past two years at the critical Median Price and Month’s Supply of Inventory metrics reflect little change – at least for the last year.

The attached charts reflect the latest market update for single family homes in the Santa Clarita Valley. The first chart depicts the Median Sold Price by Month. As of March 2010 the median price was $409,950 compared with $403,000 in March 2009. This represents a 2% increase. Units sold remained about the same at 176 for March 2010 vs 168 for March 2009.

Likewise the Month’s Supply of Inventory remains at historically low levels of about 2 months. In March 2009 it was 4 months. Average days on market declined from 72 to 62. Bottom line is that buyers are still having a difficult time finding a home, despite the continuing reduced prices from two and three years ago. Although prices seem to be trending somewhat higher it’s not yet sufficient to bring the increase in inventories level needed for a balanced 5 to 6 month supply of inventory.  Short sales and foreclosures still dominate the market.

May 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 10.9% decrease of sales in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

In May 2009 sales of single family homes in the Santa Clarita Valley (SFH’s) fell by 10.9% year over year.  They also fell 8.4% from the previous month.  According to the Southland Association of Realtors, May 2009 was the first year over year decease in sales activity for 13 months.   The median price of SFH’s decreased 11.1% year over year for May 2009 while falling 2.4% from the previous month.  This is only the second time this year that this figure has decreased month over month.  The median price for sales that closed escrow was $400 thousand for May 2009.

Condominium sales dived 9.3% year over year for May 2009 while climbing 15.3% month over month.  The median prices dived 21.3% year over year and 4% month over month.  But only 68 units closed escrow during May 2009, which may not provide statistical significance.  The median price of condos closing escrow during May 2009 was $240 thousand.

The ongoing dearth of listings continues to distort the market, however.  As of May 2009 only 1,010 single family homes and condos were actively listed on the SoCal Multiple Listing Service – near historic lows.  This figure represents an equivalent of 3.8 months supply of unsold homes compared with 6.6 months as of one year ago.  Real Estate professionals generally regard an inventory level of 5 to 6 months as a balanced marketplace.

A general perception in the marketplace is that decreased pricing deters sellers – included lenders from listing properties, while enticing buyers with higher affordability and availability of financing.  Is a market bottoming at hand?  – only time will tell.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

April 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 25% increase in condo prices in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

According to the Southland Regional Association of Realtors, SCV single family homes (SFH) sales closing escrow increased 20% year over year for the month of April 2009 while condo sales decreased about 12%.

There were only 1,119 active listings (single family and condos combined) at month end, down 44% year over year.  Based upon the current rate of sales, this inventory is equivalent to only a  4.1 month supply vs 8.2 months as of April 2008.  

While the median price of SFH’s decreased 14.6% year over year it was actually up 2.5% over the previous month.  Condominium median prices decreased 10.4% year over year but managed a whopping 25% increase over the previous month of March 2009.  This figure may not be statistically meaningful as only 59 condos closed escrow in April 2009 and 58 in March 2009.

The low level of listings in the multiple listing service combined with record high affordability and availability of financing appears to be creating a bottoming of the market – pricewise.  Sellers are slow to move as evidenced by the above-mentioned low supply of inventory which is bumping up prices month over month.  It remains to be seen how an unlisted backlog of foreclosures and bank owned properties will affect the market as these inventories start getting released.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.