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Reo Listings of the Rich and Famous?

June 12th, 2010 by Joe Levy

Reo Listings of the Rich and Famous?

Copyright (c) 2009 Frank Patrick

The Housing Bubble Pops for the Hollywood?s Elite

In 2008, the U.S. housing market lost over 3 trillion dollars in value ? with an overall decline of over 11% of the average house price and over 2.3 million homes going into foreclosure. And things aren?t looking much better so far in 2009.

As a matter of fact, the homeowners who thought they actually might make it through the current housing crash without big losses are waking up to reality. In an article published on February 2nd, 2009 in ?The Los Angeles Times,? it turns out upper-level Los Angeles suburbs such as Santa Monica, Malibu and Beverly Hills were finally hit with huge price drops in the last months of 2008 ? losing anywhere from 26% to 30% of their value in an incredibly short time period.

Why the huge and rapid drop? Because, believe it or not, prices in these areas were still soaring in early 2008, even as the rest of the country began racking up record foreclosures. And residents thought they were bulletproof.

?I didn?t believe it until the end,? said Shelley Conn, who put her Santa Monica home on the market for an asking price of .3 million. She was shocked to have to accept an offer of .9 million. In her neighborhood, nobody ever dreamt that a house would ever sell for less than million.

These properties? prices held up longer because most of them didn?t have the kind of subprime financing which fueled the beginning of the housing crisis. But with the entire housing market in freefall, eventually even the big mansions in the richest areas weren?t immune. Beverly Hills house prices fell by an average of million last year.

Financial forecasters had been taking a lot of heat for saying it was a matter of ?when? not ?if? prices fell in these neighborhoods. It was a simple case of ?shoot the messenger? ? because when a king-sized recession like this hits, people can?t afford to ?move up? to the richer zip codes ? and eventually supply outstrips demand. The more affluent areas of San Francisco and other major cities across America are suddenly facing the same dire situation.

What does this mean to the REO Broker? Simple. More and more high level REO property listings will begin to appear ? which means more and more profit for REO Agents who know how to take advantage of this growing market. It?s unfortunate this situation has to exist, but, unless these properties are sold, they?ll fall into disrepair and bring down the entire value of the neighborhood.

Frank Patrick is the founder of ASREOS. ASREOS (the American Society of REO Specialists) is the first professional association for REO Agents created by REO professionals and contains numerous resources and tools to maximize REO opportunities and find REO listings

Hope for Improvement in Housing Despite High Mortgage Delinquencies

December 7th, 2009 by Phil Levy

Nationwide mortgage delinquencies for the third quarter 2009 remain high according to figures published by Mortgage Bankers Association.  Overall mortgages in default or in the foreclosure process (i. e. notice of default or notice of sale) totaled 14%.  Prime mortgages were high as well at 10% while subprime mortgages were 42%.

Undoubtedly the high level defaults is the consequence of declining home values and joblessness.  Property values dived 40% or more since their 2006 peak, while the mortgages balances in some cases climbed.  An unemployment rate of 10% or higher does not account for the underemployed or those that have withdrawn from the job market.  So the actual unemployment picture is much worse.  Potentially compounding the situation are 2005 five year adjustable rate mortgages which will reset in 2010 and 2011.

There is reason for optimism however inasmuch as the overall economy is growing again and only 11,000 jobs were lost in November 2009 – a recession low.  More telling perhaps is the rate of temporary jobs which increased in November by 52,400.  Skittish employers may prefer temps to permanent employees until they have visibility of sustained growth prospects for their businesses.  Employment will be a key driver to an improved demand in the housing market.  

Nationwide homes are increasing as well as reflected in October 2009’s 6.2% increase in new home sales and existing homes sales increasing by 10.1%.  New homes turned in their best figure in over one year.  While existing home sales increased by the highest since 2007.

In the Santa Clarita Valley low prices and high affordability have created a high relative demand for homes   SCV’s unemployment picture at 7.9% (in November) is better overall than either the nation (10.2%), the state (12.0%), or LA County (12.7%).  Over 50% of the listings are short sales or bank owned homes keeping a lid on increasing prices.  These same low prices seem to have dissuaded non-distressed sellers – although they might have an ideal opportunity to move up.  Stores abound among REALTORS® regarding multiple offers.  Consequently our actively listed inventory remains relatively low at around 3 months. 

With politicians at the national level now focusing on job creation, I believe there may be reason to be guardedly bullish on housing at least in the short to intermediate term.

 

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Foreclosures continue to dominate the Santa Clarita Valley Housing Market – as of May 2009

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

A recent analysis of data extracted from the SoCal Multiple Listing Service revealed that foreclosures continue to dominate sales closing escrow.  Through May 2009 bank owned properties represented 46% of all sales reported through the SoCal Multiple Listing Service.  Short Sales represented another 20% and all other classifications represented the remaining 34%.  The following table depicts the month and year to date totals.

 

Month To Date No of Sales

Month To Date Pct of Sales

Sale Categories

Year To Date No of Sales

Year To Date Pct of Sales

106

37%

Lender Owned

586

46%

65

22%

Short Sales

261

20%

118

41%

All Other

429

34%

289

100%

Total

1,276

100%

 

An analysis of active listings as of the end of June, 2009 paints a switch between the short sales and foreclosures, however.  Of only 640 active listings 285 were short sales and 64 were lender owned.  This respectively represents 45% and 10% versus 22% and 37% in the table above.  A conclusion that can be reached by this switch is that the short sales tend to languish on the market while lender owned properties are priced and polished to move.

These ratios are consistent with an analysis previously published on March 31, 2009. reference to  March 31, 2009 blog post.

The data used for this posting was extracted from the SoCal Multiple Listing Service.