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May 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 10.9% decrease of sales in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

In May 2009 sales of single family homes in the Santa Clarita Valley (SFH’s) fell by 10.9% year over year.  They also fell 8.4% from the previous month.  According to the Southland Association of Realtors, May 2009 was the first year over year decease in sales activity for 13 months.   The median price of SFH’s decreased 11.1% year over year for May 2009 while falling 2.4% from the previous month.  This is only the second time this year that this figure has decreased month over month.  The median price for sales that closed escrow was $400 thousand for May 2009.

Condominium sales dived 9.3% year over year for May 2009 while climbing 15.3% month over month.  The median prices dived 21.3% year over year and 4% month over month.  But only 68 units closed escrow during May 2009, which may not provide statistical significance.  The median price of condos closing escrow during May 2009 was $240 thousand.

The ongoing dearth of listings continues to distort the market, however.  As of May 2009 only 1,010 single family homes and condos were actively listed on the SoCal Multiple Listing Service – near historic lows.  This figure represents an equivalent of 3.8 months supply of unsold homes compared with 6.6 months as of one year ago.  Real Estate professionals generally regard an inventory level of 5 to 6 months as a balanced marketplace.

A general perception in the marketplace is that decreased pricing deters sellers – included lenders from listing properties, while enticing buyers with higher affordability and availability of financing.  Is a market bottoming at hand?  – only time will tell.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

April 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 25% increase in condo prices in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

According to the Southland Regional Association of Realtors, SCV single family homes (SFH) sales closing escrow increased 20% year over year for the month of April 2009 while condo sales decreased about 12%.

There were only 1,119 active listings (single family and condos combined) at month end, down 44% year over year.  Based upon the current rate of sales, this inventory is equivalent to only a  4.1 month supply vs 8.2 months as of April 2008.  

While the median price of SFH’s decreased 14.6% year over year it was actually up 2.5% over the previous month.  Condominium median prices decreased 10.4% year over year but managed a whopping 25% increase over the previous month of March 2009.  This figure may not be statistically meaningful as only 59 condos closed escrow in April 2009 and 58 in March 2009.

The low level of listings in the multiple listing service combined with record high affordability and availability of financing appears to be creating a bottoming of the market – pricewise.  Sellers are slow to move as evidenced by the above-mentioned low supply of inventory which is bumping up prices month over month.  It remains to be seen how an unlisted backlog of foreclosures and bank owned properties will affect the market as these inventories start getting released.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

CA 4Q08 Affordability Index Jumps

March 31st, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

According to the CA Association of Realtors (CAR) the California First Time Homeowner Affordability index climbed 26 percentage points to 59% between 4Q07 and 4Q08.  It also jumped 6 percentage points from the 3Q08.  This means that more than 1/2 of California households are able to buy a home priced no more than 85% of the median price in their locales.  For Los Angeles County the affordability index climbed 19 percentage points year over year to 46% as of 4Q08.  It also climbed 4 percentage points from 42% since the 3Q08.

Affordability is the highest its been since before 2003.  These statistics are quite compelling particularly to first time home buyers since they combine the factors of median prices, existing mortgage rates and current income levels.