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Archive for June, 2009

Foreclosures continue to dominate the Santa Clarita Valley Housing Market – as of May 2009

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

A recent analysis of data extracted from the SoCal Multiple Listing Service revealed that foreclosures continue to dominate sales closing escrow.  Through May 2009 bank owned properties represented 46% of all sales reported through the SoCal Multiple Listing Service.  Short Sales represented another 20% and all other classifications represented the remaining 34%.  The following table depicts the month and year to date totals.

 

Month To Date No of Sales

Month To Date Pct of Sales

Sale Categories

Year To Date No of Sales

Year To Date Pct of Sales

106

37%

Lender Owned

586

46%

65

22%

Short Sales

261

20%

118

41%

All Other

429

34%

289

100%

Total

1,276

100%

 

An analysis of active listings as of the end of June, 2009 paints a switch between the short sales and foreclosures, however.  Of only 640 active listings 285 were short sales and 64 were lender owned.  This respectively represents 45% and 10% versus 22% and 37% in the table above.  A conclusion that can be reached by this switch is that the short sales tend to languish on the market while lender owned properties are priced and polished to move.

These ratios are consistent with an analysis previously published on March 31, 2009. reference to  March 31, 2009 blog post.

The data used for this posting was extracted from the SoCal Multiple Listing Service.

May 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 10.9% decrease of sales in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

In May 2009 sales of single family homes in the Santa Clarita Valley (SFH’s) fell by 10.9% year over year.  They also fell 8.4% from the previous month.  According to the Southland Association of Realtors, May 2009 was the first year over year decease in sales activity for 13 months.   The median price of SFH’s decreased 11.1% year over year for May 2009 while falling 2.4% from the previous month.  This is only the second time this year that this figure has decreased month over month.  The median price for sales that closed escrow was $400 thousand for May 2009.

Condominium sales dived 9.3% year over year for May 2009 while climbing 15.3% month over month.  The median prices dived 21.3% year over year and 4% month over month.  But only 68 units closed escrow during May 2009, which may not provide statistical significance.  The median price of condos closing escrow during May 2009 was $240 thousand.

The ongoing dearth of listings continues to distort the market, however.  As of May 2009 only 1,010 single family homes and condos were actively listed on the SoCal Multiple Listing Service – near historic lows.  This figure represents an equivalent of 3.8 months supply of unsold homes compared with 6.6 months as of one year ago.  Real Estate professionals generally regard an inventory level of 5 to 6 months as a balanced marketplace.

A general perception in the marketplace is that decreased pricing deters sellers – included lenders from listing properties, while enticing buyers with higher affordability and availability of financing.  Is a market bottoming at hand?  – only time will tell.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.

April 2009 Market Statistics reflect a 25% increase in condo prices in the Santa Clarita Valley

June 28th, 2009 by Phil Levy

According to the Southland Regional Association of Realtors, SCV single family homes (SFH) sales closing escrow increased 20% year over year for the month of April 2009 while condo sales decreased about 12%.

There were only 1,119 active listings (single family and condos combined) at month end, down 44% year over year.  Based upon the current rate of sales, this inventory is equivalent to only a  4.1 month supply vs 8.2 months as of April 2008.  

While the median price of SFH’s decreased 14.6% year over year it was actually up 2.5% over the previous month.  Condominium median prices decreased 10.4% year over year but managed a whopping 25% increase over the previous month of March 2009.  This figure may not be statistically meaningful as only 59 condos closed escrow in April 2009 and 58 in March 2009.

The low level of listings in the multiple listing service combined with record high affordability and availability of financing appears to be creating a bottoming of the market – pricewise.  Sellers are slow to move as evidenced by the above-mentioned low supply of inventory which is bumping up prices month over month.  It remains to be seen how an unlisted backlog of foreclosures and bank owned properties will affect the market as these inventories start getting released.

This report was compiled from data provided by the SoCal Multiple Listing Service and the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.  The Santa Clarita Valley is comprised of the following localities; Castaic, Canyon Country, Newhall, Saugus Stevenson Ranch and Valencia.