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Archive for March, 2009

CA 4Q08 Affordability Index Jumps

March 31st, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

According to the CA Association of Realtors (CAR) the California First Time Homeowner Affordability index climbed 26 percentage points to 59% between 4Q07 and 4Q08.  It also jumped 6 percentage points from the 3Q08.  This means that more than 1/2 of California households are able to buy a home priced no more than 85% of the median price in their locales.  For Los Angeles County the affordability index climbed 19 percentage points year over year to 46% as of 4Q08.  It also climbed 4 percentage points from 42% since the 3Q08.

Affordability is the highest its been since before 2003.  These statistics are quite compelling particularly to first time home buyers since they combine the factors of median prices, existing mortgage rates and current income levels.  

The California Association of Realtors (CAR) Publishes Summary of Mortgage Workout Programs

March 31st, 2009 by Phil Levy

 

The CAR recently published a compendium of workout programs available from certain major lendors as well as the federal assistance for modifications and refinancing.  See the attached table (WORD compatible document)

Lender Comparison Chart

Santa Clarita’s Feb 2009 Sales Continue to Surge

March 31st, 2009 by Phil Levy

The Southland Board of Realtors reports February 2009 closed sales of 167 single family homes in February 2009, an increase of 45% over February 2008.  For condominiums, closed sales increased by 22% for a total of 45 units.

Monthly single family homes sales have increased consistently for the past 12 months while condo’s have continued to increase for the past 9.

The rate of decline in median prices seems to be abating with a year over year decrease of 17% in single family homes to $408,000, although this is actually up by 3% over Jan 2009.  Condo median prices fell 28% year over year to $225,000 – but this increased by 10% from the prior month.  We will need to watch this trend closely over the coming months to verify whether a trend of strengthening prices has returned.

With an inventory of 1,284 homes representing a 6 month supply – close to the range of 5 to 6 months considered by many to represent a “balanced” market.  However the total listings are 40% lower than one year ago.

The below table depicts 2009 sales broken out among the categories of lender owned, short sales, and all other sales.  As in the January sales posting, lender owned and then short sales are dominating the market at this time.

This data was extracted from the SoCal MLS (Multiple Listing Service).  It is deemed reliable, but not guaranteed.  Note that a minor difference exists from the total sales reported by the Southland Regional Association of Realtors.

Month to Date Feb-09 Year to Date
No of Sales Pct of Sales Sale Conditions No of Sales Pct of Sales
112 51% Lender Owned 234 55%
40 18% Short Sales 79 18%
69 31% All Other 116 27%
221 100% Totals* 429 100%